I just purchased the 1972 baseball season and have been studying the chances for a home run to occur for certain batters. For example, Johnny Bench hit 40 home runs that season in 638 plate appearances with 100 walks. His card shows that he will hit a home run with a roll between 111-132 facing a pitcher with a D rating for hits, or an average pitcher. His actual statistics show that he would likely hit a home run every 15.95 ABs or between 6-7 percent of the time. With only 22 numbers giving a home run to Bench between 111-666, this seems to give him a significantly smaller chance to hit a home run in comparison to his actual stats. Based on the board game's numbers, I calculate Bench to hit about 19 home runs for the year, which falls far short of his actual total of 40. Am I missing something somewhere? Or has anyone else noticed the game seems to give some of the top power hitters less of a chance to hit a home run? Besides this issue, I have found the game to be very enjoyable and am currently replaying the 1972 postseason.
